Cousin Sal NFL Picks Week 10: Throughout the 2016-17 season I have been tracking Cousin Sal’s NFL picks that have been released on his new web-show Cousin Sal’s Sure Thing. Here are the Cousin Sal NFL Picks Week 10.
Cousin Sal’s NFL Picks Week 10
Chiefs +9 / Patriots -1.5 teaser ($1430/$1300)
49ers +13.5 ($770/$700)
Broncos +2 ($990/$900)
Cousin Sal’s NFL Picks Record
Cousin Sal’s record for the 2016-17 NFL season is currently 16-11-0 (+$1010):
W1: Titans +2 (-$770)
W1: Lions +3.5 (+$1200)
W1: Bears +6 (-$1980)
W2: Steelers -3.5 (+$700)
W2: Saints +4.5 (+$800)
W2: Panthers -13 (+$1400)
W3: Bengals -3.5 (-$770)
W3: Buccaneers (-$880)
W3: Bills +4.5 (+$1000)
W4: Raiders +3 (+$500)
W4: Panthers -3.5 (-$770)
W4: Jets +2.5 (-$1100)
W5: Lions +3 (+$300)
W5: Giants +7.5 (+$400)
W5: Patriots -625 (+$1370)
W6: Dolphins +8 (+$300)
W6: Chiefs +1 (+$500)
W6: Eagles -2.5 -130 (-$1040)
W7: Chargers +6.5 (+$400)
W7: Bengals -9.5 (+$500)
W7: Titans -2.5 -130 (-$910)
W8: Falcons -3 (-$440)
W8: Saints +3 (+$500)
W8: Patriots/Broncos (+$600)
W9: Chargers -5.5 (+$300)
W9: Browns +7 (-$440)
W9: Vikings -6 (-$660)
Check out all of our Cousin Sal’s Sure Thing tracking articles here.
Bill picked up his first winning week of the football season with his Week 10 picks. The Texans, Eagles, Seahawks, and Redskins powered him to a 4-1-0 (+$3900) mark with Bengals +2 still pending. This brought his season-long record to 31-39-1 for a net of -$11,300.
Bill Simmons’ Losing Streak is over: Our long national nightmare has finally come to an end. The last 10 weeks of Bill Simmons has been a disaster: 9 straight losing betting weeks to start the 2016-17 NFL season, the cancelation of his HBO show Any Given Wednesday, and somehow managing to mush the Donald Trump into the White House by parlaying Hillary Clinton with the Patriots to win the AFC east. What the fuck.
Bill picked up his first winning week of the football season with his Week 10 picks. The Texans, Eagles, Seahawks, and Redskins powered him to a 4-1-0 (+$3900) mark with Bengals +2 still pending. This brought his season-long record to 31-39-1 for a net of -$11,300. Despite Bill Simmons’ losing streak his overall numbers really are not that bad. Some of the people reading this article might laugh at his 9-straight red weeks while secretly wishing they were only down 11.3 units for the year. You can view the breakdown of his bets by week at the end of this article.
HBO officially cancelled Bill Simmons’ show Any Given Wednesday last week. The show received weak ratings (200,000 average viewers), with the last show bringing in an abysmal 82,000 mark. Bill has a point when he mentions the difficulties of having to compete with major media draws such as the Olympics, Presidential Election, and World Series. The New York Times describes the situation well:
As for the Hillary bet… well that is just classic mush.
2016 US Election Betting Markets: It’s finally Election Day. We are going to be taking a look at some of the various betting props being offered at each of the offshore sportsbooks. Here are the 2016 US Election Betting Markets and props currently available at 5Dimes:
Politics Other Sports
Spread
Money Line
US Presidential Election – Winner
Tue 11/8
3 Hillary Clinton wins Election
-560
8:00AM
4 Field wins Presidential Election
+430
Tue 11/8
5 Donald Trump wins Election
+440
8:00AM
6 Field wins Presidential Election
-580
Tue 11/8
7 Evan McMullin wins Election
+50000
8:00AM
8 Field wins Presidential Election
-250000
Tue 11/8
9 Bernie Sanders wins Election
+100000
8:00AM
10 Field wins Presidential Election
-999999
Tue 11/8
11 Tim Kaine wins Election
+100000
8:00AM
12 Field wins Presidential Election
-999999
Tue 11/8
13 Mike Pence wins Election
+100000
8:00AM
14 Field wins Presidential Election
-999999
Tue 11/8
15 Paul Ryan wins Election
+100000
8:00AM
16 Field wins Presidential Election
-999999
Tue 11/8
17 Joe Biden wins Election
+100000
8:00AM
18 Field wins Presidential Election
-999999
Tue 11/8
19 John Kasich wins Election
+100000
8:00AM
20 Field wins Presidential Election
-999999
Tue 11/8
21 Gary Johnson wins Election
+150000
8:00AM
22 Field wins Presidential Election
-999999
Tue 11/8
23 Jill Stein wins Election
+200000
8:00AM
24 Field wins Presidential Election
-999999
any third party winner = no action
Tue 11/8
31 Republican wins Presidential Election
+435
8:00AM
32 Democrat wins Presidential Election
-570
US Presidential Election – Popular Vote Winner
Tue 11/8
51 Hillary Clinton wins popular vote
-570
8:00AM
52 Donald Trump wins popular vote
+435
US Presidential Election – Popular Vote Propositions
Tue 11/8
53 Election winner doesn’t win popular vote
+625
8:00AM
54 Election winner does win popular vote
-950
Tue 11/8
55 Any candidate over 50% of popular vote
+195
8:00AM
56 No candidate 50% or more of popular vote
-275
US Presidential Election – California Popular Vote Percentage
Tue 11/8
61 Hillary Clinton CA popular vote %
-22 -210
8:00AM
62 Donald Trump CA popular vote %
+22 +160
US Presidential Election – New York Popular Vote Percentage
Tue 11/8
63 Hillary Clinton NY popular vote %
-20 -145
8:00AM
64 Donald Trump NY popular vote %
+20 +105
US Presidential Election – Hillary Clinton Electoral College Votes
Tue 11/8
113 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 360 or more
+980
8:00AM
114 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 359 or less
-1480
Tue 11/8
115 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 340 or more
+285
8:00AM
116 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 339 or less
-345
Tue 11/8
117 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 330 or more
+211
8:00AM
118 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 329 or less
-251
Tue 11/8
119 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 300 or more
-245
8:00AM
120 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 299 or less
+205
Tue 11/8
121 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 270 or more
-600
8:00AM
122 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 269 or less
+450
Tue 11/8
123 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 240 or more
-1520
8:00AM
124 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 239 or less
+1010
Tue 11/8
125 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 210 or more
-4850
8:00AM
126 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 209 or less
+2425
Tue 11/8
127 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 180 or more
-10400
8:00AM
128 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 179 or less
+4200
Tue 11/8
141 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 330 to 359
+310
8:00AM
142 Any other result
-370
Tue 11/8
143 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 300 to 329
+145
8:00AM
144 Any other result
-165
Tue 11/8
145 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 270 to 299
+450
8:00AM
146 Any other result
-600
Tue 11/8
147 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 240 to 269
+825
8:00AM
148 Any other result
-1275
Tue 11/8
149 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 210 to 239
+1435
8:00AM
150 Any other result
-2675
Tue 11/8
151 Hillary Clinton EC votes: 180 to 209
+4300
8:00AM
152 Any other result
-10600
US Presidential Election – Electoral College Vote Handicaps
projected votes based on election day popular vote
Tue 11/8
161 Donald Trump Electoral College Votes
+24½ +280
8:00AM
162 Hillary Clinton Electoral College Votes
-24½ -340
projected votes based on election day popular vote
Tue 11/8
163 Donald Trump Electoral College Votes
+49½ +195
8:00AM
164 Hillary Clinton Electoral College Votes
-49½ -235
projected votes based on election day popular vote
Tue 11/8
165 Donald Trump Electoral College Votes
+74½ +140
8:00AM
166 Hillary Clinton Electoral College Votes
-74½ -160
projected votes based on election day popular vote
Tue 11/8
167 Donald Trump Electoral College Votes
+99½ -150
8:00AM
168 Hillary Clinton Electoral College Votes
-99½ +130
projected votes based on election day popular vote
Tue 11/8
169 Donald Trump Electoral College Votes
+124½ -270
8:00AM
170 Hillary Clinton Electoral College Votes
-124½ +230
projected votes based on election day popular vote
Tue 11/8
171 Donald Trump Electoral College Votes
+149½ -525
8:00AM
172 Hillary Clinton Electoral College Votes
-149½ +415
US Presidential Election – Electoral College Vote a Tie
projected votes based on election day popular vote
Tue 11/8
181 Trump/Clinton Electoral College a Tie
+2750
8:00AM
182 Electoral College Vote not a Tie
-6000
US Presidential Election – Democratic Candidate – States Won
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
241 DEM candidate states won over 29½
+800
8:00AM
242 DEM candidate states won under 29½
-1250
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
243 DEM candidate states won over 27½
+318
8:00AM
244 DEM candidate states won under 27½
-385
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
245 DEM candidate states won over 25½
-113
8:00AM
246 DEM candidate states won under 25½
-107
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
247 DEM candidate states won over 23½
-400
8:00AM
248 DEM candidate states won under 23½
+325
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
249 DEM candidate states won over 21½
-1185
8:00AM
250 DEM candidate states won under 21½
+765
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
251 DEM candidate states won: 28-29
+535
8:00AM
252 Any other result
-770
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
253 DEM candidate states won: 26-27
+230
8:00AM
254 Any other result
-270
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
255 DEM candidate states won: 24-25
+225
8:00AM
256 Any other result
-265
total states won by the Democratic Candidate, DC does not apply
Tue 11/8
257 DEM candidate states won: 22-23
+730
8:00AM
258 Any other result
-1140
US Presidential Election – Hillary Clinton Popular Vote Percentage
Tue 11/8
261 Hillary Clinton 53.000% or more
+925
8:00AM
262 Hillary Clinton 52.999% or less
-1400
Tue 11/8
263 Hillary Clinton 50.000% or more
+220
8:00AM
264 Hillary Clinton 49.999% or less
-260
Tue 11/8
265 Hillary Clinton 47.000% or more
-380
8:00AM
266 Hillary Clinton 46.999% or less
+315
Tue 11/8
267 Hillary Clinton 44.000% or more
-1420
8:00AM
268 Hillary Clinton 43.999% or less
+935
Tue 11/8
269 Hillary Clinton 41.000% or more
-3300
8:00AM
270 Hillary Clinton 40.999% or less
+1650
Tue 11/8
271 Hillary Clinton 50.000% to 52.999%
+345
8:00AM
272 Any other result
-430
Tue 11/8
273 Hillary Clinton 47.000% to 49.999%
-103
8:00AM
274 Any other result
-117
Tue 11/8
275 Hillary Clinton 44.000% to 46.999%
+465
8:00AM
276 Any other result
-630
Tue 11/8
277 Hillary Clinton 41.000% to 43.999%
+1650
8:00AM
278 Any other result
-3300
US Presidential Election – Donald Trump Popular Vote Percentage
Tue 11/8
281 Donald Trump 50.000% or more
+1000
8:00AM
282 Donald Trump 49.999% or less
-1500
Tue 11/8
283 Donald Trump 47.000% or more
+363
8:00AM
284 Donald Trump 46.999% or less
-455
Tue 11/8
285 Donald Trump 44.000% or more
-174
8:00AM
286 Donald Trump 43.999% or less
+154
Tue 11/8
287 Donald Trump 41.000% or more
-1060
8:00AM
288 Donald Trump 40.999% or less
+680
Tue 11/8
289 Donald Trump 38.000% or more
-5600
8:00AM
290 Donald Trump 37.999% or less
+2650
Tue 11/8
291 Donald Trump 47.000% to 49.999%
+570
8:00AM
292 Any other result
-840
Tue 11/8
293 Donald Trump 44.000% to 46.999%
-105
8:00AM
294 Any other result
-115
Tue 11/8
295 Donald Trump 41.000% to 43.999%
+243
8:00AM
296 Any other result
-285
Tue 11/8
297 Donald Trump 38.000% to 40.999%
+920
8:00AM
298 Any other result
-1395
US Presidential Election – Gary Johnson Popular Vote Percentage
Tue 11/8
301 Gary Johnson 6.000% or more
+1925
8:00AM
302 Gary Johnson 5.999% or less
-3850
Tue 11/8
303 Gary Johnson 5.000% or more
+755
8:00AM
304 Gary Johnson 4.999% or less
-1175
Tue 11/8
305 Gary Johnson 4.000% or more
+170
8:00AM
306 Gary Johnson 3.999% or less
-200
Tue 11/8
307 Gary Johnson 3.000% or more
-290
8:00AM
308 Gary Johnson 2.999% or less
+245
Tue 11/8
309 Gary Johnson 5.000% to 5.999%
+1200
8:00AM
310 Any other result
-1900
Tue 11/8
311 Gary Johnson 4.000% to 4.999%
+260
8:00AM
312 Any other result
-320
Tue 11/8
313 Gary Johnson 3.000% to 3.999%
+145
8:00AM
314 Any other result
-165
US Presidential Election – Voter Turnout Percentage
Tue 11/8
401 Voter Turnout 66.000% or more
+675
8:00AM
402 Voter Turnout 65.999% or less
-1050
Tue 11/8
403 Voter Turnout 62.000% or more
+215
8:00AM
404 Voter Turnout 61.999% or less
-255
Tue 11/8
405 Voter Turnout 58.000% or more
-148
8:00AM
406 Voter Turnout 57.999% or less
+128
Tue 11/8
407 Voter Turnout 54.000% or more
-640
8:00AM
408 Voter Turnout 53.999% or less
+470
Tue 11/8
409 Voter Turnout 50.000% or more
-3400
8:00AM
410 Voter Turnout 49.999% or less
+1700
Tue 11/8
411 Voter Turnout 62.000% to 65.999%
+365
8:00AM
412 Any other result
-460
Tue 11/8
413 Voter Turnout 58.000% to 61.999%
+235
8:00AM
414 Any other result
-275
Tue 11/8
415 Voter Turnout 54.000% to 57.999%
+250
8:00AM
416 Any other result
-300
Tue 11/8
417 Voter Turnout 50.000% to 53.999%
+615
8:00AM
418 Any other result
-930
US Senators at the beginning of the 115th Congress
US Senators who caucus with Republicans at least 50 if Republican president elected, at least 51 otherwise
Tue 11/8
801 Republicans maintain Senate majority
+120
8:00AM
802 Republicans no longer Senate majority
-150
Republican Control of Congress and White House
nominee elected president, controls a majority in House of Representatives, causus of 50+ in Senate
Tue 11/8
803 Republicans control Congress & W.House
+500
8:00AM
804 GOP won’t control Congress & W.House
-700
Democratic Control of Congress and White House
nominee elected president, controls a majority in House of Representatives, causus of 50+ in Senate
Tue 11/8
805 Democrats control Congress & White House
+1050
8:00AM
806 Dem won’t control Congress & White House
-1600
US Presidential Election – Individual State Electoral Votes Winner
Tue 11/8
1001 Republican candidate wins Alabama
-55000
8:00AM
1002 Democratic candidate wins Alabama
+11000
Tue 11/8
1003 Republican candidate wins Alaska
-510
8:00AM
1004 Democratic candidate wins Alaska
+340
Tue 11/8
1005 Republican candidate wins Arizona
-400
8:00AM
1006 Democratic candidate wins Arizona
+280
Tue 11/8
1007 Republican candidate wins Arkansas
-16150
8:00AM
1008 Democratic candidate wins Arkansas
+4050
Tue 11/8
1009 Republican candidate wins California
+4500
8:00AM
1010 Democratic candidate wins California
-17500
Tue 11/8
1011 Republican candidate wins Colorado
+330
8:00AM
1012 Democratic candidate wins Colorado
-490
Tue 11/8
1013 Republican candidate wins Connecticut
+1200
8:00AM
1014 Democratic candidate wins Connecticut
-2600
Tue 11/8
1015 Republican candidate wins Delaware
+900
8:00AM
1016 Democratic candidate wins Delaware
-1850
Tue 11/8
1017 Republican candidate wins Florida
+170
8:00AM
1018 Democratic candidate wins Florida
-230
Tue 11/8
1019 Republican candidate wins Georgia
-530
8:00AM
1020 Democratic candidate wins Georgia
+350
Tue 11/8
1021 Republican candidate wins Hawaii
+2500
8:00AM
1022 Democratic candidate wins Hawaii
-7500
Tue 11/8
1023 Republican candidate wins Idaho
-13500
8:00AM
1024 Democratic candidate wins Idaho
+3500
Tue 11/8
1025 Republican candidate wins Illinois
+1375
8:00AM
1026 Democratic candidate wins Illinois
-3425
Tue 11/8
1027 Republican candidate wins Indiana
-3000
8:00AM
1028 Democratic candidate wins Indiana
+1300
Tue 11/8
1029 Republican candidate wins Iowa
-420
8:00AM
1030 Democratic candidate wins Iowa
+300
Tue 11/8
1031 Republican candidate wins Kansas
-6000
8:00AM
1032 Democratic candidate wins Kansas
+2000
Tue 11/8
1033 Republican candidate wins Kentucky
-7200
8:00AM
1034 Democratic candidate wins Kentucky
+2400
Tue 11/8
1035 Republican candidate wins Louisiana
-4500
8:00AM
1036 Democratic candidate wins Louisiana
+1500
Tue 11/8
1037 Republican candidate wins Maine
+600
8:00AM
1038 Democratic candidate wins Maine
-1200
Tue 11/8
1039 Republican candidate wins Maryland
+7500
8:00AM
1040 Democratic candidate wins Maryland
-32500
Tue 11/8
1041 Republican candidate wins Massachussetts
+5400
8:00AM
1042 Democratic candidate wins Massachussetts
-21200
Tue 11/8
1043 Republican candidate wins Michigan
+360
8:00AM
1044 Democratic candidate wins Michigan
-540
Tue 11/8
1045 Republican candidate wins Minnesota
+830
8:00AM
1046 Democratic candidate wins Minnesota
-1730
Tue 11/8
1047 Republican candidate wins Mississippi
-5250
8:00AM
1048 Democratic candidate wins Mississippi
+1750
Tue 11/8
1049 Republican candidate wins Missouri
-2450
8:00AM
1050 Democratic candidate wins Missouri
+1150
Tue 11/8
1051 Republican candidate wins Montana
-2600
8:00AM
1052 Democratic candidate wins Montana
+1200
Tue 11/8
1053 Republican candidate wins Nebraska
-3600
8:00AM
1054 Democratic candidate wins Nebraska
+1400
Tue 11/8
1055 Republican candidate wins Nevada
+325
8:00AM
1056 Democratic candidate wins Nevada
-475
Tue 11/8
1057 Republican candidate wins New Hampshire
+250
8:00AM
1058 Democratic candidate wins New Hampshire
-350
Tue 11/8
1059 Republican candidate wins New Jersey
+1250
8:00AM
1060 Democratic candidate wins New Jersey
-2750
Tue 11/8
1061 Republican candidate wins New Mexico
+575
8:00AM
1062 Democratic candidate wins New Mexico
-1125
Tue 11/8
1063 Republican candidate wins New York
+6000
8:00AM
1064 Democratic candidate wins New York
-24000
Tue 11/8
1065 Republican candidate wins North Carolina
-120
8:00AM
1066 Democratic candidate wins North Carolina
-120
Tue 11/8
1067 Republican candidate wins North Dakota
-2750
8:00AM
1068 Democratic candidate wins North Dakota
+1250
Tue 11/8
1069 Republican candidate wins Ohio
-245
8:00AM
1070 Democratic candidate wins Ohio
+175
Tue 11/8
1071 Republican candidate wins Oklahoma
-32500
8:00AM
1072 Democratic candidate wins Oklahoma
+7500
Tue 11/8
1073 Republican candidate wins Oregon
+1000
8:00AM
1074 Democratic candidate wins Oregon
-2000
Tue 11/8
1075 Republican candidate wins Pennsylvania
+335
8:00AM
1076 Democratic candidate wins Pennsylvania
-505
Tue 11/8
1077 Republican candidate wins Rhode Island
+1300
8:00AM
1078 Democratic candidate wins Rhode Island
-3000
Tue 11/8
1079 Republican candidate wins South Carolina
-1950
8:00AM
1080 Democratic candidate wins South Carolina
+950
Tue 11/8
1081 Republican candidate wins South Dakota
-3425
8:00AM
1082 Democratic candidate wins South Dakota
+1375
Tue 11/8
1083 Republican candidate wins Tennessee
-7500
8:00AM
1084 Democratic candidate wins Tennessee
+2500
Tue 11/8
1085 Republican candidate wins Texas
-4650
8:00AM
1086 Democratic candidate wins Texas
+1550
Tue 11/8
1089 Republican candidate wins Vermont
+1700
8:00AM
1090 Democratic candidate wins Vermont
-5100
Tue 11/8
1091 Republican candidate wins Virginia
+520
8:00AM
1092 Democratic candidate wins Virginia
-960
Tue 11/8
1093 Republican candidate wins Washington
+2000
8:00AM
1094 Democratic candidate wins Washington
-6000
Tue 11/8
1095 Republican candidate wins West Virginia
-11000
8:00AM
1096 Democratic candidate wins West Virginia
+3000
Tue 11/8
1097 Republican candidate wins Wisconsin
+550
8:00AM
1098 Democratic candidate wins Wisconsin
-1050
Tue 11/8
1099 Republican candidate wins Wyoming
-5550
8:00AM
1100 Democratic candidate wins Wyoming
+1850
Tue 11/8
1101 Republican candidate wins Utah
-855
8:00AM
1102 Field wins Utah
+485
Tue 11/8
1103 Democratic candidate wins Utah
+1600
8:00AM
1104 Field wins Utah
-4800
Tue 11/8
1105 Evan McMullin wins Utah
+600
8:00AM
1106 Field wins Utah
-1200
US Presidential Election – Gary Johnson Popular Vote Percentage – New Mexico
Bill Simmons NFL Picks Week 10: Seriously Bill, what the fuck. Bill Simmons turned in another week of losing picks going 1-4-0 (-$3400) with his lone victory coming with the Detroit Lions. Through the first 9 weeks of the NFL season Bill has managed to lose every single one of them. Bill Simmons’ betting record for the 2016-17 NFL season is 26-38-1 for a net of -$15,200 (-15.2 units).
Steph and I were on the road this week which is why the three weekly tracking articles are not going online until early Monday morning. To keep things authentic I ensured that my picks were tweeted out on our official account Sunday morning. I used Pinnacle lines available at 9:25 AM Eastern time:
This is just a brief archive article. I will update the official record later this week when I am back in New York. I anticipate finally getting on a dedicated video recording schedule.
Cousin Sal NFL Picks Week 9: Here are Cousin Sal’s NFL Picks for Week 9. Lucas and I are on the road this weekend so here is a quick tracking article put together for archive purposes. We will return to normal scheduling next week.
Cousin Sal’s NFL Picks Week 9
Chargers -5.5 ($330/$300)
Browns -7 ($440/$400)
Vikings -6 ($660/$600)
Cousin Sal’s NFL Picks Record
Cousin Sal’s record for the 2016-17 NFL season is currently 15-9-0 (+$1810):
W1: Titans +2 (-$770)
W1: Lions +3.5 (+$1200)
W1: Bears +6 (-$1980)
W2: Steelers -3.5 (+$700)
W2: Saints +4.5 (+$800)
W2: Panthers -13 (+$1400)
W3: Bengals -3.5 (-$770)
W3: Buccaneers (-$880)
W3: Bills +4.5 (+$1000)
W4: Raiders +3 (+$500)
W4: Panthers -3.5 (-$770)
W4: Jets +2.5 (-$1100)
W5: Lions +3 (+$300)
W5: Giants +7.5 (+$400)
W5: Patriots -625 (+$1370)
W6: Dolphins +8 (+$300)
W6: Chiefs +1 (+$500)
W6: Eagles -2.5 -130 (-$1040)
W7: Chargers +6.5 (+$400)
W7: Bengals -9.5 (+$500)
W7: Titans -2.5 -130 (-$910)
W8: Falcons -3 (-$440)
W8: Saints +3 (+$500)
W8: Patriots/Broncos (+$600)
Check out all of our Cousin Sal’s Sure Thing tracking articles here.
Bill Simmons NFL Picks Week 9: It looked like Bill had finally pulled off his first winning week of the 2016-17 season. His Week 8 picks against the spread had managed to generate a small +0.4% profit. We sent Bill a congratulatory tweet, hoping this might be the performance needed to turn around his abysmal betting season.
Then we received a direct message from one of our followers informing us that we neglected to track the one prop bet he gave out on the podcast. On Friday’s show with Joe House after locking in the Chiefs -2.5 (which won) he mentioned that he was also going to take them to score a defensive or special teams touchdown. This wiped out his 0.4 units of profit to hand him his 8th straight losing week. Unbelievable. Bill Simmons NFL betting record this season is currently 25-34-1 for a net of -$11,800 (-11.8 units).
Cousin Sal’s record for the 2016-17 NFL season is currently 13-8-0 (+$1150). Despite being 7-2 over the last 3 weeks he has dropped his last two best bets; both of which involved buying half a point. Here is the Cousin Sal NFL Picks Week 8 breakdown.
Falcons (-3) vs. Packers
Cousin Sal has placed $440 to win $400 on Falcons -3:
Dan Quinn has something to prove after poor play calling last week.
Green Bay is 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 games as an underdog of 4 points or fewer.
Packers lack a run-game.
Green Bay’s defense will have a tough time keeping up with Atlanta’s outside speed.
Saints (+3) vs. Seahawks
Cousin Sal has placed $550 to win $500 on the Saints +3:
Seattle is playing their second road game in a row.
Seahawks defense spent 46 minutes on the field last week.
New Orleans is 14-3 against the spread in their last 17 games as an underdog.
Best Bet: Parlay Patriots and Broncos (-106)
Cousin Sal is risking $636 to win $600 on a Patriots/Broncos moneyline parlay:
Both the Patriots and Broncos are looking for revenge over their opponents.
Tom Brady 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions this season.
Bills will not have a good run-game.
Denver just lost to San Diego two weeks ago.
Broncos are 8-1 straight-up in their last 9 home games.
Cousin Sal Fantasy
Gem: Brandon Marshall
Bust: Golden Tate
Cousin Sal’s NFL Picks Record
Cousin Sal’s record for the 2016-17 NFL season is currently 13-8-0 (+$1150):
W1: Titans +2 (-$770)
W1: Lions +3.5 (+$1200)
W1: Bears +6 (-$1980)
W2: Steelers -3.5 (+$700)
W2: Saints +4.5 (+$800)
W2: Panthers -13 (+$1400)
W3: Bengals -3.5 (-$770)
W3: Buccaneers (-$880)
W3: Bills +4.5 (+$1000)
W4: Raiders +3 (+$500)
W4: Panthers -3.5 (-$770)
W4: Jets +2.5 (-$1100)
W5: Lions +3 (+$300)
W5: Giants +7.5 (+$400)
W5: Patriots -625 (+$1370)
W6: Dolphins +8 (+$300)
W6: Chiefs +1 (+$500)
W6: Eagles -2.5 -130 (-$1040)
W7: Chargers +6.5 (+$400)
W7: Bengals -9.5 (+$500)
W7: Titans -2.5 -130 (-$910)
Check out all of our Cousin Sal’s Sure Thing tracking articles here.
Free NFL Picks Week 8: It has been a very busy week working to get Arjan’s website launched. I realized late last night that I had not made the weekly picks video or article. It is currently 2:44PM at the time that I am writing this sentence so I have missed the London and Early games for Week 8. We will still have three picks for this week:
Chargers ML (+176)
Chargers +4 (-105)
Bears +4 (-106)
Season Record
I will update this section in each week’s article. I am using a starting bankroll of $100,000 for tracking purposes and I will be risking a fixed 1% of my weekly entry balance. Our carry-in balance for this week is $103,293 so we will be risking $1033 per pick:
Cousin Sal’s NFL Picks Week 10
Cousin Sal’s NFL Picks Record
Bill Simmons Week 1
