[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Last week was the debut of my video series where I will be tracking all of my NFL picks. We started off strong going 4-1-0 (+$3467) picking up wins on Falcons ML +150, Falcons +3, Lions under 48, Texans -3.5. Our only loss came with the Giants +4.5. You can check out last week’s article and videos here.[/vc_column_text][td_block_text_with_title custom_title=”NFL Picks Week 5.1″]
NFL Picks Week 5.1
Here are the picks that were released on the Week 5.1 video posted on October 7th, 2016. This will be a quiet week with few picks:
- Play: Browns +10.5 (-115)
- Play: Jets +7.5 (-117)
[/td_block_text_with_title][vc_video link=”https://vimeo.com/185907178″ align=”center”][td_block_text_with_title custom_title=”NFL Picks Week 5.2″]
NFL Picks Week 5.2
There will be one addition:
- Play: Redskins +4 (-108)
[/td_block_text_with_title][vc_video link=”https://vimeo.com/186132360″ align=”center”][td_block_text_with_title custom_title=”Season Record”]
Season Record
I will update this section in each week’s article. I am using a starting bankroll of $100,000 for tracking purposes and I will be risking a fixed 1% of my weekly entry balance. Our carry-in balance for this week is $103,467 so we will be risking $1035 per pick:
Week Four: 4-1-0 (+$3467)
This week’s risk-size was $1000 per play:
- Falcons ML (+150) = +$1500
- Falcons +3 (+108) = +$1080
- Giants +4.5 (-105) = -$1000
- Texans -3.5 (-107) = +$935
- Bears under 48 (-105) = +$952
Week Five: Pending
This week’s risk size is $1035 per play:
Browns +10.5 (-115)- Jets +7.5 (-117)
- Redskins +4 (-108)
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Fixed it so that the videos are embedding on the site properly. Plays for this week (final) are:
Browns +10.5 (-115)
Jets +7.5 (-117)
Redskins +4 (-108)
All from Pinnacle. The Jets line movement has gone against me considerably. I believe the ev of the market is ~4.5 and would highly recommend betting on it at the current price of 9.